Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.994760 1.134733 1.287154 1.465437 1.668255 1.891815 2.156969
2025-02-16 0.780488 0.972423 1.200125 1.490126 1.849708 2.281073 2.838207
2025-02-23 0.639295 0.847258 1.109213 1.463303 1.929582 2.522977 3.336343
2025-03-02 0.546449 0.761781 1.046653 1.450945 2.010177 2.757042 3.831731
2025-03-09 0.482369 0.702600 1.006603 1.456650 2.106267 3.010828 4.368315
2025-03-16 0.431354 0.653489 0.972020 1.461751 2.196135 3.257651 4.911742
2025-03-23 0.391938 0.615504 0.947434 1.475712 2.295977 3.522743 5.501090
2025-03-30 0.347962 0.565007 0.897840 1.444841 2.322095 3.676265 5.930759
2025-04-06 0.310725 0.520587 0.852298 1.414100 2.342788 3.819428 6.352205
2025-04-13 0.275259 0.475024 0.799942 1.366107 2.329168 3.903875 6.681978
2025-04-20 0.267953 0.475469 0.822196 1.442725 2.527017 4.347116 7.644168
2025-04-27 0.260196 0.474134 0.840883 1.514193 2.721258 4.798787 8.658210
2025-05-04 0.249556 0.467072 0.849707 1.570437 2.896255 5.236324 9.695019
2025-05-11 0.234934 0.451351 0.841784 1.595870 3.018427 5.591693 10.617534
2025-05-18 0.214271 0.422195 0.806569 1.567165 3.037351 5.760648 11.208166
2025-05-25 0.197864 0.399480 0.781052 1.553934 3.083283 5.981613 11.914139
2025-06-01 0.185481 0.383369 0.766455 1.560042 3.166174 6.277652 12.788978
2025-06-08 0.174164 0.368262 0.752340 1.565503 3.247615 6.576390 13.693376
2025-06-15 0.164852 0.356351 0.743431 1.580449 3.348977 6.921711 14.720627
2025-06-22 0.151536 0.334723 0.712789 1.547400 3.347779 7.059001 15.326530
2025-06-29 0.139468 0.314625 0.683528 1.514489 3.343564 7.188772 15.926000
2025-07-06 0.126866 0.292161 0.647274 1.463108 3.294725 7.220015 16.313546
2025-07-13 0.126488 0.297091 0.670631 1.545134 3.545886 7.913106 18.219251